selected publications
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article
- Are scenario projections overly optimistic about future yield progress. Global Environmental Change-human and Policy Dimensions. 64:102120. 2020
- Perspective article: Actions to reconfigure food systems.. GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY-AGRICULTURE POLICY ECONOMICS AND ENVIRONMENT. 26:100432. 2020
- Innovation can accelerate the transition towards a sustainable food system. NATURE FOOD. 1:266-272. 2020
- Modelling the global economic consequences of a major African swine fever outbreak in China. NATURE FOOD. 1:221-228. 2020
- Agricultural Development and Land Use Change in India: A Scenario Analysis of Trade‐Offs Between UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). EARTHS FUTURE. 8. 2020
- Combining the effects of increased atmospheric carbon dioxide on protein, iron, and zinc availability and projected climate change on global diets: a modelling study.. LANCET PLANETARY HEALTH. 3:E307-E317. 2019
- Gaps between fruit and vegetable production, demand, and recommended consumption at global and national levels: an integrated modelling study.. The Lancet Planetary Health. 3. 2019
- Key determinants of global land-use projections. Nature Communications. 10:2166. 2019
- Agricultural investments and hunger in Africa modeling potential contributions to SDG2 - Zero Hunger.. World Development. 116:38-53. 2019
- Income growth and climate change effects on global nutrition security to mid-century. NATURE SUSTAINABILITY. 1:773-781. 2018
- Health-motivated taxes on red and processed meat: A modelling study on optimal tax levels and associated health impacts.. PLOS ONE. 13. 2018
- Options for keeping the food system within environmental limits. Nature. 562:519-+. 2018
- Health and nutritional aspects of sustainable diet strategies and their association with environmental impacts: a global modelling analysis with country-level detail. LANCET PLANETARY HEALTH. 2:E451-E461. 2018
- Biophysical and economic implications for agriculture of +1.5° and +2.0°C global warming using AgMIP Coordinated Global and Regional Assessments.. Climate Research. 76:17-39. 2018
- Risk of increased food insecurity under stringent global climate change mitigation policy. Nature Climate Change. 8:699-+. 2018
- Coordinating AgMIP data and models across global and regional scales for 1.5°C and 2.0°C assessments. PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES. 376:20160455. 2018
- Linking regional stakeholder scenarios and shared socioeconomic pathways: Quantified West African food and climate futures in a global context. Global Environmental Change. 45:227-242. 2017
- Exploring future agricultural development and biodiversity in Uganda, Rwanda and Burundi: a spatially explicit scenario-based assessment. Regional Environmental Change. 17:1409-1420. 2017
- Mitigation potential and global health impacts from emissions pricing of food commodities. Nature Climate Change. 7:69-+. 2017
- Socio-Economic Impacts of Climate Change in Latin America and the Caribbean: 2020-2045. Cuadernos De Desarrollo Rural. 13:11-34. 2017
- Can sub-Saharan Africa feed itself?. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 113:14964-14969. 2016
- Impactos socioeconómicos del cambio climático en América Latina y el Caribe: 2020-2045. Cuadernos De Desarrollo Rural. 13:11-34. 2016
- Climate Change, Agriculture, and Adaptation in the Republic of Korea to 2050: An Integrated Assessment 2016
- Food system consequences of a fungal disease epidemic in a major crop.. PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES. 371:20150467. 2016
- Multi-factor, multi-state, multi-model scenarios. Environmental Modelling and Software. 83:255-270. 2016
- Global and Regional Health Effects of Future Food Production Under Climate Change: A Modelling Study. LANCET. 387:1937-1946. 2016
- Climate change adaptation in agriculture: Ex ante analysis of promising and alternative crop technologies using DSSAT and IMPACT 2015
- PP60 The global and regional health impacts of future food production under climate change. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health. 69. 2015
- Climate change impacts on agriculture in 2050 under a range of plausible socioeconomic and emissions scenarios. Environmental Research Letters. 10:85010. 2015
- Better Drip than Flood: Reaping the Benefits of Efficient Irrigation. EuroChoices. 14:26-32. 2015
- Climate shocks and adjustment for selected crops 2015
- Modelling Adaptation to Climate Change in Agriculture 2014
- Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture and Food Security in 2050 under a Range of Plausible Socioeconomic and Emissions Scenarios 2014
- Challenges to scenario-guided adaptive action on food security under climate change. Global Environmental Change. 28:383-394. 2014
- Ex-ante Impact Assessment of ‘Stay-Green’ Drought Tolerant Sorghum Cultivar Under Future Climate Scenarios: Integrated Modeling Approach 2014
- The future of food demand: understanding differences in global economic models. Agricultural Economics. 45:51-67. 2014
- Chinese food security and climate change, Agriculture futures 2013
- Ex-ante Impact Assessment of Drought Tolerant Sorghum Cultivars under Future Climates: Integrated Modeling approach 2013
- The future of food security, environments and livelihoods in Eastern Africa: four socio-economic scenarios 2013
- US food security and climate change, Agriculture futures 2013
- International Model for Policy Analysis of Agricultural Commodities and Trade (IMPACT), Model description 2012
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chapter
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conference paper
- Health-motivated taxes on red and processed meat: a modelling study on optimal tax levels and health and climate-change co-benefits 2017
- Interpreting the shared socio-economic pathways under climate change for the ECOWAS region through a stakeholder and multi-model process 2016
- The IMPACT model: A global simulation modelling system for analysis of water-economy links in climate change scenarios 2016
- Application of multi-commodity partial equilibrium model to quantify the welfare benefits of research 2014
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document
- Mèthodologie 2017
- Quantitative foresight modeling to inform the CGIAR research portfolio 2017
- The effects of climate change on agriculture and food security in Africa 2017
- Climate change impacts and household resilience: Prospects for 2050 in Brazil, Mexico, and Peru 2016
- Russia's food security and climate change, Looking into the future 2013
- Ex-ante Impact Assessment of Stay-Green Drought Tolerant Sorghum Cultivar under Future Climate Scenarios 2012
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editorial article
- Reply to: An appeal to cost undermines food security risks of delayed mitigation. Nature Climate Change. 10:420-+. 2020
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hide from search
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review
- Agricultural growth and sex-disaggregated employment in Africa: Future perspectives under different investment scenarios. GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY-AGRICULTURE POLICY ECONOMICS AND ENVIRONMENT. 100353. 2020
- Supporting sustainable expansion of livestock production in South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa: Scenario analysis of investment options. GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY-AGRICULTURE POLICY ECONOMICS AND ENVIRONMENT. 114-121. 2019
- Structural approaches to modeling the impact of climate change and adaptation technologies on crop yields and food security. GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY-AGRICULTURE POLICY ECONOMICS AND ENVIRONMENT. 63-70. 2016
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working paper