selected publications
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article
- Covid-19 lockdowns, income distribution, and food security: An analysis for South Africa. GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY-AGRICULTURE POLICY ECONOMICS AND ENVIRONMENT. 26:100410. 2020
- Multiple moves and return migration within developing countries: A comparative analysis. Population Space and Place. 26. 2020
- Modelling the global economic consequences of a major African swine fever outbreak in China. NATURE FOOD. 1:221-228. 2020
- Exploring Transformational Adaptation Strategy through Rice Policy Reform in the Philippines 2019
- Agricultural investments and hunger in Africa modeling potential contributions to SDG2 - Zero Hunger.. World Development. 116:38-53. 2019
- Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security: Impacts and the Potential for Adaptation and Mitigation 2019
- Effect of Linagliptin vs Placebo on Major Cardiovascular Events in Adults With Type 2 Diabetes and High Cardiovascular and Renal Risk The CARMELINA Randomized Clinical Trial. JAMA-JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION. 321:69-79. 2019
- Effect of Linagliptin vs Placebo on Major Cardiovascular Events in Adults With Type 2 Diabetes and High Cardiovascular and Renal Risk The CARMELINA Randomized Clinical Trial. JAMA-JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION. 321:69-79. 2019
- Linagliptin Effects on Heart Failure and Related Outcomes in Individuals With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus at High Cardiovascular and Renal Risk in CARMELINA. CIRCULATION. 139:351-361. 2019
- Linagliptin Effects on Heart Failure and Related Outcomes in Individuals With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus at High Cardiovascular and Renal Risk in CARMELINA. CIRCULATION. 139:351-361. 2019
- Health-motivated taxes on red and processed meat: A modelling study on optimal tax levels and associated health impacts.. PLOS ONE. 13. 2018
- Determinants and impact of sustainable land management (SLM) investments: A systems evaluation in the Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia. Agricultural Economics. 48:613-627. 2017
- Will China's demographic transition exacerbate its income inequality?–CGE modeling with top-down microsimulation. Journal of The Asia Pacific Economy. 22:227-252. 2017
- Budget Rules and Resource Booms and Busts: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Analysis. The World Bank Economic Review. 31:71-96. 2017
- Mitigation potential and global health impacts from emissions pricing of food commodities. Nature Climate Change. 7:69-+. 2017
- Food system consequences of a fungal disease epidemic in a major crop.. PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES. 371:20150467. 2016
- Global and Regional Health Effects of Future Food Production Under Climate Change: A Modelling Study. LANCET. 387:1937-1946. 2016
- Climate change and economic growth: An intertemporal general equilibrium analysis for Egypt. Economic Modelling. 52:681-689. 2016
- Estimating parameters and structural change in CGE models using a Bayesian cross-entropy estimation approach. Economic Modelling. 52:1-44. 2016
- Natural resource revenue, spending strategies and economic growth in Niger. Economic Modelling. 52:564-573. 2016
- Structural approaches to modeling the impact of climate change and adaptation technologies on crop yields and food security. Global Food Security. vol. 10. 2016
- The International Model for Policy Analysis of Agricultural Commodities and Trade (IMPACT): Model Description for Version 3 2015
- Climate change adaptation in agriculture: Ex ante analysis of promising and alternative crop technologies using DSSAT and IMPACT 2015
- PP60 The global and regional health impacts of future food production under climate change. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health. 69. 2015
- PP60 The global and regional health impacts of future food production under climate change. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health. 69. 2015
- Climate change impacts on agriculture in 2050 under a range of plausible socioeconomic and emissions scenarios. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS. 10:85010. 2015
- Informed Selection of Future Climates. Climatic Change. 130:21-33. 2015
- Cash transfers and economic growth: Some steps beyond wishful thinking 2015
- Climate shocks and adjustment for selected crops 2015
- Contrasting approaches to projecting long-run global food security. OXFORD REVIEW OF ECONOMIC POLICY. 31:26-44. 2015
- Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture and Food Security in 2050 under a Range of Plausible Socioeconomic and Emissions Scenarios 2014
- Budget rules and resource booms : a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium analysis 2014
- Informed selection of future climates. Springer Netherlands. 2014
- Can Cash Transfers Promote the Local Economy? A Case Study for Cambodia 2014
- Climate change effects on agriculture: Economic responses to biophysical shocks. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 111:3274-3279. 2014
- Can cash transfers promote the local economy? A case study for Cambodia 2014
- Comparing supply-side specifications in models of global agriculture and the food system. Agricultural Economics. 45:21-35. 2014
- Implications of productivity growth in Pakistan: an economy wide analysis 2014
- Dutch disease and spending strategies in a resource-rich low-income country -- the case of Niger 2013
- Climate Change and Economic Growth: An Intertemporal General Equilibrium Analysis for Egypt 2013
- Contribution of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling to Policy Formulation in Developing Countries 2013
- Highlights of recent IFPRI food policy research for Switzerland, Reducing poverty and hunger through food policy research 2013
- A 2007-08 Social Accounting Matrix for Pakistan 2012
- Implications of productivity growth in Pakistan: An cconomy-wide analysis 2012
- A Dynamic General Equilibrium Analysis of Adaptation to Climate Change in Ethiopia. Review of Development Economics. 16:489-502. 2012
- Economic development under climate change. Review of Development Economics. vol. 16. 2012
- Implications of productivity growth in Pakistan, An cconomy-wide analysis 2012
- Ethiopia's Growth and Transformation Plan: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis of Alternative Financing Options 2011
- A dynamic computable general equilibrium model with working capital for Honduras 2011
- Tax policy to reduce carbon emissions in a distorted economy, Illustrations from a South Africa CGE Model. The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy. vol. 11. 2011
- Tax policy to reduce carbon emissions in south Africa 2009
- Economic implications of foreign exchange rationing in Ethiopia 2009
- The OECD recession and developing country trade, A global simulation analysis. IDS Bulletin. vol. 40. 2009
- Aid, growth, and real exchange rate dynamics 2008
- Economy-Wide and Distributional Impacts of an Oil Price Shock on the South African Economy 2007
- Trade Reform and Gender in Mozambique. Nordic Journal of Political Economy. 32:73-89. 2006
- The social impact of a WTO agreement in Indonesia 2005
- Are Export Promotion and Trade Liberalisation Good for Latin America's Poor?. Development Policy Review. 23:385-403. 2005
- An Analysis of South Africa's Value Added Tax 2005
- Tell me where it hurts, an' I'll tell you who to call, industrialized countries' agricultural policies and developing countries 2005
- REGIONALISM: OLD AND NEW, THEORY AND PRACTICE 2004
- Cross-country typologies and development strategies to end hunger in Africa 2004
- Prospects for growth and poverty reduction in Zambia, 2001-2015 2004
- Reconciling Household Surveys and National Accounts Data Using a Cross Entropy Estimation Method. Review of Income and Wealth. 49:395-406. 2003
- Consumer preferences and trade in genetically modified foods. JOURNAL OF POLICY MODELING. 25:777-794. 2003
- Structural Change and Economic Growth in China. Review of Development Economics. 7:360-377. 2003
- Regional Agreements and the World Trade Organization Negotiations. American Journal of Agricultural Economics. 85:679-683. 2003
- Trade and Tradability: Exports, Imports, and Factor Markets in the Salter-Swan Model. Economic Record. 79:103-111. 2003
- Biotechnology, trade, and hunger, IFPRI 2000-2001 Annual Report Essay 2003
- Developing countries and agricultural negotiations: much more is needed 2003
- Free trade agreements and the SADC economies. Journal of African Economies. 12:156-206. 2003
- Scenarios for trade integration in the Americas 2003
- The effects of an FTAA on agricultural trade in the Western Hemisphere 2003
- Trade liberalisation and regional integration: the search for large numbers. Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics. 46:585-604. 2002
- Spatial-network, general-equilibrium model with a stylized application. Regional Science and Urban Economics. 32:651-671. 2002
- Developing Countries and the Gains from Regionalism: Links between Trade and Farm Policy Reforms in Mexico. American Journal of Agricultural Economics. 84:736-748. 2002
- The Global Impacts of Farm Policy Reforms in Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development Countries. American Journal of Agricultural Economics. 84:774-781. 2002
- Parameter estimation for a computable general equilibrium model: a maximum entropy approach. Economic Modelling. 19:375-398. 2002
- Assessing impacts of declines in the world price of tobacco on China, Malawi, Turkey, and Zimbabwe 2002
- Capturing the implications of services trade liberalization 2002
- Facing the Development Challenge in Mozambique 2002
- Facing the development challenge in Mozambique, an economywide perspective 2002
- General equilibrium measures of agricultural policy bias in fifteen developing countries 2002
- Macro and micro effects of recent and potential shocks to copper mining in Zambia 2002
- Structural Change and Economic Growth in China [in Chinese] 2002
- Trade and the skilled-unskilled wage gap in a model with differentiated goods 2002
- WTO, agriculture, and developing countries, a survey of issues 2002
- Genetic Engineering and Trade: Panacea or Dilemma for Developing Countries. World Development. 29:1307-1324. 2001
- Policy Bias and Agriculture: Partial and General Equilibrium Measures. Review of Development Economics. 5:89-104. 2001
- The Impact of NAFTA on the United States. Journal of Economic Perspectives. 15:125-144. 2001
- Biotechnology, trade, and hunger, IFPRI 2000-2001 Annual Report Essay 2001
- Economy-wide effects of El Niño / Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in Mexico and the role of improved forecasting and technological change 2001
- Famine in North Korea: Causes and cures. Economic Development and Cultural Change. vol. 49. 2001
- Free trade agreements and the SADC economies 2001
- Genetic engineering and trade: Panacea or dilemma for developing countries. World Development. 29:1307-1324. 2001
- Rigorous Speculation: The Collapse and Revival of the North Korean Economy. World Development. 28:1767-1787. 2000
- Rigorous Speculation: The Collapse and Revival of the North Korean Economy. World Development. 28:1767-1787. 2000
- Estimating the Economic Effects of Gmos: The Importance of Policy Choices and Preferences 2000
- North American Farm Programs and the WTO. American Journal of Agricultural Economics. 82:768-774. 2000
- Modeling Korean Unification. Journal of Comparative Economics. 28:400-421. 2000
- Food security and trade negotiations in the World Trade Organization, a cluster analysis of country groups 2000
- Marketing margins and agricultural technology in Mozambique. Journal of Development Studies. 37:121-137. 2000
- Structural adjustment, agriculture, and deforestation in the Sumatera regional economy 2000
- Updating and estimating a Social Account Matrix using cross entropy methods 2000
- Nonseparable Farm Household Decisions in a Computable General Equilibrium Model. American Journal of Agricultural Economics. 81:663-670. 1999
- After the negotiations, assessing the impact of free trade agreements in Southern Africa 1999
- Alternative industrial development paths for Indonesia, SAM and CGE analyses 1999
- Costa Rica trade liberalization, fiscal imbalances, and macroeconomic policy: a computable general equilibrium model 1999
- Costa Rica trade liberalization, fiscal imbalances, and macroeconomic policy: a computable general equilibrium model. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance. 10:39-67. 1999
- Developing countries and the WTO agricultural negotiations 1999
- From stylized to applied models: building multisector CGE models for policy analysis 1999
- From stylized to applied models:: Building multisector CGE models for policy analysis. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance. 10:5-38. 1999
- Marketing margins and agricultural technology in Mozambique 1999
- Non-separable farm household models in a computable general equilibrium model 1999
- Parameter estimation for a computable general equilibrium model, a maximum entropy approach 1999
- Past and future sources of growth for China 1999
- Regional integration among the unequal: a CGE model of NAFTA and the Central American republics. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance. 10:235-292. 1999
- Spatial networks in multi-region computable general equilibrium models 1999
- To trade or not to trade, non-separable farm household models in partial and general equilibrium. 1999
- Trade liberalization and complementary domestic policies, a rural-urban general equilibrium analysis of Morocco. 1999
- Rice policy, trade, and exchange rate changes in Indonesia: a general equilibrium analysis. Journal of Asian Economics. 9:393-423. 1998
- The costs and benefits of Korean unification: alternate scenarios 1998
- Income and equity effects of crop productivity growth under alternative foreign trade regimes: a CGE analysis for the Philippines 1997
- Modeling economic reform in North Korea 1997
- Rice price policies in Indonesia, a computable general equilibrium (CGE) analysis 1997
- The continuing Asian financial crisis: global adjustment and trade 1997
- THE ROLE OF DEFENSE CUTS IN THE CALIFORNIA RECESSION COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODELS AND INTERSTATE FACTOR MOBILITY. Journal of Regional Science. 36:571-595. 1996
- Southern Africa, economic structure, trade, and regional integration 1996
- The role of defense cuts the California recession: Computable general equilibrium models and interstate factor mobility. Journal of Regional Science. 36:571-595. 1996
- Beyond the Uruguay Round: The implications of an Asian free trade area. China Economic Review. 6:35-90. 1995
- Land, water, and agriculture in Egypt, the economywide impact of policy reform 1995
- Modeling Air Pollution Abatement in a Market-Based Incentive Framework for the Los Angeles Basin 1994
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book
- The Indus Basin of Pakistan. Ed. vol. null. 2013
- WTO negotiations and agricultural trade liberalization, the effect of developed countries' policies on developing countries 2006
- Who gains from free trade, Export-led growth, inequality and poverty in Latin America 2006
- ¿Quién se beneficia del libre comercio?, Promoción de exportaciones y pobreza en América Latina y el Caribe en los 90 2004
- Global economic effects of the Asian currency devaluations. Ed. 56. 1998
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chapter
- Irrigation and water management in the Indus basin: Infrastructure and management strategies to improve agricultural productivity 2016
- Agriculture in land 2014
- VAT and economy-wide modelling 2009
- Are export promotion and trade liberalization good for Latin America's poor? 2006
- Thinking inside the boxes: protection and investments in the development and food security boxes versus investments in the green box 2006
- El plan de convertibilidad, apertura de la economía y empleo en Argentina, Una simulación macro-micro de pobreza y desigualdad 2004
- Thinking inside the boxes: protection and investments in the development and food security boxes 2004
- Estimating the economic effects of GMOs, the importance of policy choices and preferences 2003
- Poverty and inequality analysis in a general equilibrium framework: the representative household approach 2003
- Alternative industrial development paths for Indonesia: SAM and CGE analyses 2001
- Estimating the global economic effects of GMOs 2001
- Foreign aid and development: summary and synthesis 2000
- Rural development in Morocco: alternative scenarios to the year 2000 1999
- Shifts in world agricultural trade 1999
- The case for Mexico's rescue: the peso package looks even better now 1999
- The mixed-complementarity approach to agricultural supply in computable general equilibrium models 1999
- Trade liberalization, transfers and skill upgrading in Morocco: a dynamic general equilibrium analysis 1999
- Agricultura, comercio y tasas de combio en el Mercosur 1998
- Farm policy reforms and harmonization in the NAFTA 1998
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conference paper
- Health-motivated taxes on red and processed meat: a modelling study on optimal tax levels and health and climate-change co-benefits 2017
- Potential impact of U.S. immigration policies on poverty and food security in Central American countries 2017
- The opportunity cost of climate mitigation policy by promoting renewable power generation in the Philippines 2017
- Climate change and rice self-sufficiency policy, Exploring adaptation strategy through agricultural policy reform in the Philippines 2016
- The IMPACT model: A global simulation modelling system for analysis of water-economy links in climate change scenarios 2016
- Estimating behavioral parameters and shifts in economic structure in CGE Models using an information-theoretic cross-entropy estimation approach 2014
- Is irrigation in Northern Ghana a good adaptation strategy to climate change, A CGE-W study 2014
- Regionalism: old and new, theory and practice 2003
- Thinking inside the boxes: protection and investments in the development and food security boxes 2003
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dataset
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document
- Quantitative foresight modeling to inform the CGIAR research portfolio 2017
- A 2007 Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) for Lesotho 2014
- Changing sources of growth in Indian agriculture: Implications for regional priorities for accelerating agricultural growth 2014
- Ethiopia's Growth and Transformation Plan: A CGE Analysis of Alternative Financing Options, Summary of ESSP Working Paper 30 (November 2011) 2012
- External shocks and policy alternatives in small open economies, The case of El Salvador 2011
- Looking into the future for agriculture and AKST 2009
- Regionalism, old and new, theory and practice 2004
- A standard computable general equilibrium (CGE) model in GAMS 2002
- On boxes, contents, and users, food security and the WTO negotiations 2002
- Scenarios for trade integration in the Americas 2002
- Trade and tradability, exports, imports, and factor markets in the Salter-Swan model 2002
- The impact of alternative development strategies on growth and distribution, simulations with a dynamic model for Egypt 2001
- Genetic engineering and trade, panacea or dilemma for developing countries 2000
- Getting ready for the millennium round trade negotiations 1999
- Globalization, trade reform, and the developing countries, essay in IFPRI Annual Report 1999
- Reconciling household surveys and national accounts data using a cross entropy estimation method 1999
- Trade liberalization and regional integration, the search for large numbers 1999
- Estimating a social accounting matrix using cross entropy methods 1998
- Rice policy, trade, and exchange rate changes in Indonesia, a general equilibrium analysis 1998
- Economic structure, trade, and regional integration in southern Africa 1997
- Estimating a social accounting matrix using entropy difference methods 1997
- Rural development in Morocco, alternative scenarios to the year 2000 1997
- The mixed-complementary approach to specifying agricultural supply in computable general equilibrium models 1997
- Income and equity effects of crop productivity growth under alternative foreign trade regimes, a CGE analysis for the Philippines 1996
- NAFTA and policy coordination in North America, guest editorial 1996
- The trade-wage debate in a model with nontraded goods, making room for labor economists in labor theory 1996
- Trade liberalization and regional integration, implications for 2020 1995
-
report
-
working paper
- Impact of Clinton's and Trump's trade proposals 2016
- Budget rules and resource booms, A dynamic stochastic general equilibrium analysis 2014
- The cost of adapting to climate change in Ethiopia: Sector-wise and macro-economic estimates 2013
- Consumer attitudes toward genetically modified foods, the modelling of preference changes 2001
- Famine in North Korea: Causes and cures 1999
- Rigorous speculation: The collapse and revival of the North Korean economy 1999
- The continuing Asian financial crisis, global adjustment and trade 1999
- Asian competitive devaluations 1998
- The global economic effects of the Japanese crisis 1998
- Convergence and divergence between NAFTA, Chile, and MERCOSUR, overcoming dilemmas of North and South American economic integration 1997
- The economics of Korean unification 1997
- Modeling economic reform in North Korea 1996
- Partners or predators?, the impact of regional trade liberalization on Indonesia 1996
- Trade and adjustment policies and income distribution in three archetype developing economies 1980